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TrustFinance Global Insights
Apr 15, 2026
2 min read
140

Volkswagen's China CEO, Ralf Brandstaetter, has issued a stark warning about intensifying competition and a potential contraction in the Chinese auto market, a scenario not seen since 2018. This signals a significant shift for the world's largest car market and the German automaker's strategy within it.
Brandstaetter described a flat market in 2026 as a "best-case scenario." In response to the challenging environment, Volkswagen has revised its long-term sales forecast for China, now expecting to sell 26 million cars annually by 2030, a reduction from the previous estimate of 28 million.
The German automaker is actively defending its position against ascendant homegrown brands like BYD. While Volkswagen regained its top foreign sales spot in the first quarter, Brandstaetter emphasized that the era of "super-profits" is over due to the market's fierce competitive landscape. The company is focusing on rolling out new electric and hybrid models with local partners.
Volkswagen anticipates a prolonged period of intense competition, shifting its strategy from maximizing profit margins to defending market share through innovation and strategic local partnerships. The market's performance will be a critical factor to watch.
Q: Why is competition increasing in China's car market?
A: The rise of strong homegrown EV brands and the end of government subsidies have created a highly competitive landscape.
Q: What is Volkswagen's revised sales forecast for China?
A: Volkswagen now expects to sell 26 million cars annually in China by 2030, down from the previous forecast of 28 million.
Source: Investing.com

TrustFinance Global Insights
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