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TrustFinance Global Insights
May 15, 2026
2 min read
7

The United States and Brazil, the world's two largest ethanol producers, are experiencing a significant jump in biofuel exports this year. U.S. ethanol exports rose by 20% year-on-year in the first quarter, reaching 638 million gallons. Meanwhile, Brazil's exports are projected to more than double, potentially reaching 2.2 billion liters in the 2026/27 season.
The primary driver for this increased demand is a global push by consuming nations to diversify their fuel supplies, spurred by geopolitical tensions such as the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. Countries, particularly in Asia, are increasing their ethanol blending rates in gasoline to enhance energy security and reduce dependence on traditional energy sources.
This export boom provides a significant boost for corn producers in the U.S. and sugarcane growers in Brazil by increasing demand for their crops. To meet this growing global need, both countries are expanding their production capacity. The U.S. is expected to add 1 billion gallons of ethanol production capacity within 18 months, while Brazil's output is forecasted to reach a record 41.4 billion liters.
Industry experts believe the heightened demand for ethanol is a long-term trend driven by a structural shift towards energy security. This renewed interest is reviving the long-held plan to establish a robust global market for ethanol, ensuring stable demand for producers and a reliable alternative fuel source for consumers.
Q: Why are ethanol exports from the US and Brazil increasing?
A: Exports are rising because countries worldwide are seeking to diversify their fuel sources and improve energy security amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Q: How does this trend affect commodity markets?
A: It increases demand for corn and sugarcane, the primary feedstocks for ethanol in the U.S. and Brazil respectively, which helps support agricultural prices.
Source: Reuters

TrustFinance Global Insights
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